15th Annual Workshop of the Households in Conflict Network

“New Methods in Empirical Conflict Research”

 Paris School of Economics, 17-18 October 2019

48 Boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris

Thursday 17 October 

8.30 Welcome 

9.00 – 11.00 Parallel Sessions 1 

Room 1 (Amphi). Session 1A: Refugees 

9.00 – 9.30 “Assessing the Effects of Humanitarian Assistance on Internally Displaced Households: Experimental Evidence from a Voucher Program in the Congo”. Maarten Voors (Wageningen University).

9.30 – 10.00 “Our trade, thy refugees and my welfare: The spatial impact of civil conflict beyond its borders”. Andreas Eberhard-Ruiz (University of Sussex).

10.00 – 10.30 “Refugees and Environmental Degradation in Africa”. Jean-François Maystadt (University of Lancaster).

10.30 – 11.00 “International Migration Intentions and Illegal Costs: Evidence from Africa-to-Europe Smuggling Routes”. Giovanni Prarolo (University of Bologna).

Room 2 (R2-21) Session 1B: Natural resources 

9.00 – 9.30 “Fiscal Incentives for State Building: Evidence from India’s Red Corridor”. Oliver Vanden Eynde (Paris School of Economics, CNRS)

9.30 – 10.00 “The role of markets and preferences on resource conflicts”. Petros Sekeris (Montpellier Business School)

10.00 – 10.30 “Technological Change, Organizational Capacity and Rural Conflict: Land Occupations in Brazil” Stefano Falcone (Université Libre de Bruxelles).

Room 3 (R1-14) Session 1C: Networks 

9.00 – 9.30 “Contours of Conflict: Network Position as a Contours of Conflict: Network Position as a Predictor of Political Violence Level and Type in Afghanistan”. Melissa Pavlik (King’s College London)

9.30 – 10.00 “The Industrial Organization of Multi-Party Rebellions”. David Ribar (Princeton University).

10.00 – 10.30 “Chasing the Key Player: A Network Approach to the Myanmar Civil War”. Andrea Di Miceli (Analysis Group).

10.30 – 11.00 “Criminality as a Social Process Evidence from Colombian Ex-combatants”. Mateo Vásquez-Cortés, (ITAM).

11.00 – 11.30 Coffee Break 

 11.30 – 13.00 Parallel Sessions 2 

Room 1 (Amphi) Session 2A: Media 

11.30 – 12.00 “Violence against journalists and freedom of the press: Evidence from Mexico”. Juan Morales (Collegio Carlo Alberto – University of Turin).

12.00 – 12.30 “The Social Network Effects of Drone Strikes”. Paolo Bertolotti (MIT Institute for Data, Systems, and Society)

12.30 – 13.00 “Facebook causes protests”. Leopoldo Fergusson (Universidad de los Andes).

Room 2 (R2-21) Session 2B: Methods and new data 

11.30 – 12.00 “The Hard Problem of Prediction for Conflict Prevention”. Hannes Mueller (Institut d’Analisi Economica).

12.00 – 12.30 “Crowdseeding Conflict and Peace Events in Syria: A pilot for the collection of primary disaggregated conflict event data”. Ghassan Baliki (International Security and Development Center).

12.30 – 13.00 “Illicit small arms prices: introducing two new datasets”. Topher McDougal (University of San Diego).

13.00 – 14.00 Lunch 

14.00 – 15.00 Keynote 1: Solomon Hsiang, Room 1 (Amphi) 

15.00 – 16.00 Parallel Sessions 3 

Room 1 (Amphi) Session 3A: Firms 

15.00 – 15.30 “Private firms amidst the war: Evidence from Libya”. Michele Di Maio (Sapienza University of Rome).

15.30 – 16.00 “Violence and Tourism”. Hannes Mueller (Institut d’Analisi Economica).

Room 2 (R2-21) Session 3B: Historical Roots 

15.00 – 15.30 “The Nature and Origins of Sectarian Animosity”. Elizabeth Dekeyser (MIT).

Room 3 (R1-14) Session 3C: Policy Interventions 

15.00 – 15.30 “Too Many Cooks: Spoilt Aid, Conflict, and Corruption”. Travers Child (China Europe International Business School)

15.30 – 16.00 “Cash Transfers and Political Attitudes: Micro-Level Evidence from Pakistan”. Patricia Justino, Institute of Development Studies (University of Sussex).

16.00 – 16.30 Coffee Break 

 16.30 – 17.30 Parallel Sessions 4 

Room 1 (Amphi) Session 4A: Social Cohesion 

16.30 – 17.00 “Social Cohesion through Community Driven Development in Kyrgyzstan”. Damir Esenaliev (International Security and Development Center & IGZ – The Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops).

17.00 – 17.30 “Trust and Altruism when exposed to Violent Conflict: Experimental Evidence from Refugee and Host communities in Northern Uganda”. Annet Adong (Center for Development Research, University of Bonn).

Room 2 (R2-21) Session 4B: Trade 

16.30 – 17.00 “Globalization and conflicts: the good, the bad and the ugly of corporations in Africa”. Tommaso Sonno (University of Bologna).

17.00 – 17.30 “Should I trade or should I go (to war)?”. Sami Miaari (Tel-Aviv University).

17.30 – 18.30 Keynote 2: Ekatarina Zhuravskaya, Room 1 (Amphi) 

 18.30 – 19.30 HICN session 

 Friday 18 October 

8.30 – 10.30 Parallel Sessions 5 

Room 1 (Amphi) Session 5A: Health 

8.30 – 9.00 “Can Unconditional Cash Transfers Mitigate the Impact of Civil Conflict on Acute Child Malnutrition in Yemen?”. Jean-Francois Maystadt (University of Antwerp).

9.00 – 9.30 “The Cost of Fear: Impact of Violence Risk on Child Health During Conflict”. Augustin Tapsoba (Toulouse School of Economics).

9.30 – 10.00 “Cash, food, or kitchen gardens: how to best help refugees?”. Olivier Sterck (University of Oxford).

10.00 – 10.30 “Forced Displacement, Migration and Fertility in Armed Conflict: Evidence from Burundi”. Philip Verwimp (ECARES).

Room 2 (R2-21) Session 5B: Environment and geography 

8.30 – 9.00 “Climate Change and Intergroup Conflict: An Experimental Design”. Hanna Freudenreich (Leibniz Institute of Vegetable and Ornamental Crops).

9.00 – 9.30 “Warfare’s ecological footprint: A Synthetic Control approach with data from the Falkland Islands”. Antoine Pietri (University of Montpellier – CEE-M).

9.30 – 10.00 “Spatial Inequality, Civil Conflict, and Cells: A Dynamic Spatial Probit Approach”. Beatriz Manotas-Hidalgo (Universidad Pública de Navarra).

Room 3 (R1-16) Session 5C: Elections 

8.30 – 9.00 “Buying off the Revolution: Evidence from the Colombian National Peasant Movement, 1957-1985”. María del Pilar López-Uribe (Universidad de los Andes).

9.00 – 9.30 “No Kin In The Game: Moral Hazard and War in the U.S.”. Eoin McGuirk (Trinity College – Tufts University).

9.30 – 10.00 “Criminal Dominance and Campaign Concentration”. Jessie Bullock (Harvard University).

10.00 – 10.30 “Ballots and Bullets: The Electoral Origin of the Maoist Insurgency in Nepal”. Mario Chacón (NYU Abu Dhabi).

 10.30 – 11.00 Coffee Break 

11.00 – 13.00 Parallel Sessions 6 

Room 1 (Amphi) Session 6A: Education 

11.00 – 11.30 “Undo with one hand what they have done with the other:  School dropout and illicit economies during the peace agreement with the Colombian guerrilla FARC-EP”. Alejandra Quintana-Barrera (Universidad de los Andes).

11.30 – 12.00 “Civil War and Labour Market Outcomes in Sierra Leone”. Jennifer Korie (University of Maroua).

12.00 – 12.30 “Intergenerational effects of war on education: Evidence from World War II in Europe”. Enkelejda Havari (European Commission – Joint Research Centre).

12.30 – 13.00 “Terrorism, education, and the role of expectations: Evidence from al-Shabaab attacks in Kenya”. Marco Alfano (University of Strathclyde).

Room 2 (R2-21) Session 6B: Policy Interventions

11.00 – 11.30 “Testing the Link Between Employment Programs and Stability in Jordan and Lebanon:  A Pre-Analysis Plan”. Neil Ferguson (International Security and Development Center).

11.30 – 12.00 “Education and Conflict: Evidence from a Policy Experiment in Indonesia”. Dominic Rohner (University of Lausanne and CEPR).

12.00 – 12.30 “The impacts of food security interventions in conflict zones: Evidence from North-east Nigeria and Syria”. Wolfgang Stojetz (International Security and Development Center).

13.00 – 14.00 Lunch 

14.00 – 15.00 Keynote 3: Jacob Shapiro, Room 1 (Amphi) 

15.00 – 15.30 Coffee Break 

15.30 – 17.30 Parallel Sessions 7 

Room 1 (Amphi) Session 7A: Household welfare 

15.30 – 16.00 “Conflict and Poverty Traps: Evidence from a Secret War”. Rahul Mehrotra (Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies).

16.00 – 16.30 “Households in Times of War: Adaptation strategies during the Nepal Civil War”. François Libois (Paris School of Economics & INRA).

16.30 – 17.00 “The impact of the Sierra Leone Civil War on Household Welfare”. Hannah Sam (University of Sussex).

17.00 – 17.30 “Female Empowerment after Genocide”. Thorsten Rogall (The University of British Columbia).

Room 2 (R2-21) Session 7B: Political Economy 

15.30 – 16.00 “Markets, conflict, and incumbent tenure: evidence from Turkey’s kurdish insurgency”. Emine Deniz (Ozyegin University).

16.00 – 16.30 “The geography of dictatorship and support for democracy”. Mounu Prem (Universidad del Rosario).

16.30 – 17.00 “Minorities at Risk Organisations: Terrorism, Insurgency, State Repression, and Cycles of Violence”. Christophe Muller (Aix-Marseille University).

17.00 – 17.30 “Trust Unraveled: The Long Shadow of the Spanish Civil War”. Felipe Valencia-Caicedo (The University of British Columbia).